PULS
Foto: Matthias Friel
Students will be introduced to forecasting political negotiations in the field of global environmental and energy policy, employing the web-based software "The Predictioneers' Game (http://www.predictioneersgame.com/game)". The seminar will combine lectures, actor papers, and group simulations. Likely examples include climate change mitigation, REDD+ (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation in Developing Countries), DESERTEC rollout (solar and wind power from North Africa for Europe and Northern Africa), or geoengineering.
Bueno de Mesquita, B. (2009). The Predictioneer's Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future. New York, Random House. Bueno de Mesquita, B. (2011). "A New Model for Predicting Policy Choices." Conflict Management and Peace Science 28(1): 65-87. A syllabus will be available by 01 April 2013 on my website www.sprinz.org.
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